The World Health Organization’s (WHO) Maria Van Kerkhove, PhD, said in a
press briefing Monday evening that asymptomatic individuals are less
likely to transmit SARS-CoV-2 than individuals with symptoms.
Kerkhove also acknowledged that asymptomatic and presymptomatic spread
have been staples of past studies modeling transmission dynamics in
nursing homes and household settings. She cited a "number of countries"
reporting detailed contact tracing results, showing secondary
transmission is a very rare circumstance. Much of this data, she added,
has not been published.
She stressed the importance that countries conducting contact tracing provide more data to help "truly answer this question."
"It still appears to be rare that an symptomatic individual transmits
onward," Kerkhove said. "When we go actually go back and say how many
them were truly asymptomatic, we find out that many have really mild
disease."
A recent study on
SARS-CoV-2 testing in a long term care facility found that over half of
residents with positive test results were asymptomatic at the time of
testing. What role these residents played in spread isn't certain, and
there may be factors such as viral load that make asymptomatic cases
more or less important in spread based on setting.
In another recent study,
based on contact tracing in Taiwan, investigators reviewed 2761 close
contacts of 100 SARS-CoV-2 positive patients (5.5% were household
contacts, 2.8% were non-household family contacts, and 25.3% were health
care contacts). Ultimately, 22 secondary cases were identified and
interestingly, none of the secondary cases were related to the 9
asymptomatic index cases.
The statement made headlines, though it was already theorized that
pre-symptomatic transmission might be more critical to spread than
asymptomatic transmission. Individuals might also self-report an
asymptomatic case if they have mild symptoms.
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