Sunday, November 8, 2015

The fallout from the take down of a Russian plane!


I like to think of Egypt as a country that is sitting right smack dab in the middle of a tender box. And, ISIS is that little deranged kid whose recently discovered a book of matches!

Once it's made clear that it was a bomb that brought down Russian Flight 9268, and that the credit falls squarely on Islamic extremists, the situation in that part of the Middle East will surely to go from bad to worst. And Egypt, above all else, stands to be the big loser as it watches tourism dry up faster than the Sinai desert on a blisteringly hot day.

Currently, Russia accounts for about 1 in every three tourists that come to vacation in Egypt. A country whose economy's health is in lockstep with tourism as an industry. The UK halted flights to and from the resort on Wednesday, citing intelligence concerns that the Airbus may have been downed by a bomb, followed by Russia on Friday announcing likewise. Oops! There goes the Egyptian economy in just one simple stroke! And, as it stands now, it is unlikely for any thinking foreigner to even want to hedge a bet and fly there even after the restrictions are lifted! Would you?

For now, investigators are not saying anything definitive about what exactly caused the crash. This, even after an Egyptian member of the international team investigating the crash told Reuters that they are "90% sure" that a sound heard in the last moments of the recording of the plane's cockpit voice recorder was an explosion caused by a bomb...

That sort of flimsy sort of cover up will not last long, however, especially under the glare of international scrutiny. Once those 'final' findings are declared, a new piece of the puzzle will fall into place. That being Putin's response to his witnessing 200 plus of his fellow countrymen needlessly slaughtered. Many pundits are betting that if and when he does respond, it will be massive and devastating to the Muslim populations of cities like Raqqa in northern Syria. A location thought to be an ISIS stronghold.

For now, we all have to wait and see what transpires. And, as we wait, our President dithers, the Russian people simmer and a group of Islamic miscreants run around in diapers causing mayhem everywhere they go!.

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